The Mexican Peso (MXN) appreciates by about 0.20% against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, even as risk appetite deteriorated amid the escalation of the US-Iran conflict, which triggered a jump in energy prices. This exer…
Silver (XAG/USD) rebounds on Monday and trades around $66.70 at the time of writing, up 0.40% on the day. The main obstacle to a stronger recovery in Silver remains the shift in expectations surrounding the Federal Rese…
National Bank of Canada's (NBC) Taylor Schleich and Ethan Currie expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% and maintain current balance sheet policy. They argue markets still overprice late-202…
Wee Khoon Chong at BNY reports strong Japanese macro data and resilient housing and commerce indicators, supporting the narrative that Japan has exited deflation and Bank of Japan (BoJ) normalization remains in play. US…
BNY’s Wee Khoon Chong notes Oil prices are underpinned by renewed U.S.–Iran tensions near the Strait of Hormuz and President Trump’s claim of a deal granting U.S. majority control over Venezuela’s vast reserves. Chong s…
GBP/JPY trades on the back foot on Monday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against its major peers. The Pound Sterling (GBP), meanwhile, lacks a fresh domestic catalyst as UK markets remain closed for the Summer Ba…
Gold (XAU/USD) trades flat on Monday after opening the week lower and briefly falling below $4,400, its lowest level since August 19, during Asian trading hours. The metal lacks strong upside momentum as hawkish Federal…
OCBC FX Strategist Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech eased debasement concerns and supported the Dollar, with Gold lower and the US yield curve flatter. They say structur…
Rabobank strategists expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% at the September 2 meeting and through 2027, despite markets pricing in around 17bp of tightening by year-end. They highlight stro…
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar (USD) recovered after Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, as futures pricing restored a meaningful probability of a September FOMC rate hike. …
Financial markets adopt a cautious stance on the last day of August as investors assess shifting odds of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in September and re-escalating tensions in the Middle East. The economi…
ING’s commodities team, led by Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey, reports that Gold came under pressure after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh reinforced a higher-for-longer rates narrative, supporting the Dollar. They …
Geoff Yu at BNY argues that upcoming German CPI and Eurozone flash CPI are critical for European Central Bank expectations, with markets already pricing a near-certain September hike. While services inflation is softeni…
It was a "good week" for the Australian dollar, the currency climbing to fresh leg highs of 0.7208 against the US dollar Friday night and reaching multi-year highs against several major currencies. However, the move cam…
United Arab Emirates (UAE) Presidential Adviser Anwar Gargash said during the European trading session on Monday that political solutions must begin with de-escalation and restoring normal shipping through the Strait of…
The Euro (EUR) is looking for direction against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, following a sharp reversal last Friday, with bears eyeing the bottom of the last two weeks’ trading range, just below 0.8550. Negative p…
USD/IDR extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 17,790 during the European hours on Monday. However, the upward momentum for USD/IDR remains capped by broader US Dollar (USD) weakness.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Sunday recent Japanese Yen (JPY) moves were "pretty well contained," suggesting the Japanese currency's renewed weakness were not seen as the kind of disorderly moves that l…
The AUD/USD pair loses traction to near 0.7160 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh hinted that rate hikes m…
US Central Command (CENTCOM) struck Iranian rocket launchers that were preparing to send mines into the Strait of Hormuz, following weeks of relative calm, Bloomberg reported on Sunday.
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay reports the Bank of Korea has delivered back-to-back 25bp hikes to 3.0%, front-loading tightening as growth and core inflation forecasts rise. The bank signals one more hike over six months but…
The Mexican Peso (MXN) depreciates against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, down by over 0.42% on hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole Symposium. This prompted investors to price …
Concerns about the US credit market have eased further since the weekend, prompting a hawkish repricing in the Fed curve and justifying a stronger dollar. EUR/USD may slip all the way to 1.160 in the next few days, but …
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