• Published

Ryanair is considering a temporary wage freeze for staff and confirmed airfares will be "materially higher" next summer because of a sharp rise in fuel costs following the US-Israel war with Iran.

The airline said it expects fuel prices to remain high "well into 2027" unless there is a "swift resolution" to the conflict.

Ryanair said its fuel bill is forecast to be €2bn (£1.6bn) higher in the short-term and its boss, Michael O'Leary, said airfares would have to rise by "double-digits" to help cover the cost.

But the firm said that was unlikely to be enough and it is looking into pay freezes. Unite, the union representing Ryanair staff, said it had not been told of "any such proposals".

O'Leary also said the company would slow down hiring as airline's costs rise.

The airline said its pre-tax profits fell by 16% to €2.4bn during the six months to the end of September, largely due to fuel costs jumping by 15%.

The company said that although 80% of its fuel bill had been "hedged" – in effect, bought in advance at fixed prices – the cost of the remainder was elevated.

O'Leary reiterated forecasts from earlier this year Ryanair would "need a 20% fare increase" to cover the cost of jet fuel.

"I'm not sure we'll get to 20%," he said. "But we're certainly looking at double-digit fare increases across Europe from all airlines in 2027."

Aviation fuel prices have surged this year as a result of the US-Israel war with Iran, which has dramatically reduced the supply of refined products coming from the Gulf and increased competition for those produced elsewhere.

Ryanair also said it was weighing up freezing pay as "maturing labour agreements" – multi-year wage deals with unions – come to to an end and the policy could be implemented from April next year.

Oliver Richardson, national officer at Unite, said the union "hasn't been advised of any such proposals and we have a multi-year pay deal in place which covers next year. A number of Unions across Europe have the same".

He said: "Our pay agreement was not attached to, nor dependent on company performance. This was something that the Ryanair was at pains to emphasise. As such we would expect it to be honoured."

Ryanair also said it would increase its use of artificial intelligence within its back office and support functions.

Meanwhile, Ryanair has cut back on winter flights and said on Monday there would be more to come. It said this was happening across the airline industry, particularly with short-haul carriers.

O'Leary said: "We believe those cuts will continue into the summer of 2027. Over the medium term, we expect short-haul capacity will remain constrained out to the early 2030s."

• • Published11 September
• • Published21 July